I'm.honestly still questioning if your theories here are even remotely accurate with respect to solving the bug. It regards a suggestion thread made by myself that i think would remedy this bug as well as a number of other bugs i have additionally referenced under a related root cause. I have a page to link from the DF forums in which I have referenced this bug within as part of the content for discussion. So would this be a fitting place for someone to link to a page containing info how to create workaround interaction? For all other messages, please use the forums: Please limit your postings in bug reports to information that pertains to the specific bug. This is not a forum for speculation, comments, or complaints. I prefer my workaround of removing CAN_LEARN from semi-megabeasts in favor of natural skills, but that doesn't allow making anything from night trolls. One thing that I can blame Max for though, I do recall they mentioned a workaround via giving adventurers a workaround interaction that allows one to temporarily remove "CAN_LEARN" from a targeted creature. In Future of the Fortress, right after I complained about Toady having not mentioned this bug in a while.Īww, guess this explains why I couldn't craft some honorary night creature bone rings from the shadow man I killed. I could've sworn it was you on the forums. I atill haven't looked at what the old behavior was."Īccording to TheFlame52, this is partially fixed. I didn't remember changing anything relevant, but something apparently happened. Toady has stated in Future of the Fortress ( ): For most of DF2014 at least, you could freely eat and make use of body materials from sentient creatures. That said, I'm not sure this is a bug so much as the lack of a feature that has yet to be implemented. I believe that, while non-adventurer members from certain civs (I.e: elven, goblin) should have no problem using the products from butchered sentient creatures, adventurers all follow the same code of ethics as dwarves, regardless of their current civ, and therefore refuse to do the same (they also don't have the option to use sentient creature's bones for carving in 0.42.06). Well that was the briefest bout of monitoring I've seen. In the case of outsiders, it might be viable for them to ignore ethics entirely and commit cannibalism wantonly.Ġ.42.01, adventure mode, butcher, cannibalism, ethics, meatĬannibalism and leathermaking with sentient skin impossible even with appropriate ethics.īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0035303#r14239īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0035963#r14494īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0035963#r14495īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0035963#r14500īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0035975#r14502īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0036170#r14568īug_revision_view_page.php?bugnote_id=0037954#r15429Īdditionally, any reactions modded-in to make use body materials (tanning hides, bonecrafting, etc) refuse to accept body materials from sentient creatures. It seems like it really should dependent on the ethics of the adventurer's parent civilization. In addition, modding in additional adventure-mode reactions reveals that body materials made from sentient creatures are flat-out unusable in said reactions. If you go so far as to mod in the option to play dark-fortress native goblins, or change a playable entity's ethics to consider cannibalism acceptable, it will have no effect. Dwarf Fortress Bug Tracker - Dwarf FortressĠ009171: Butcher returns of sentient creatures are unusable, regardless of adventurer's ethicsīutchering sentient creatures currently works, but the resulting meat is inedible.
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Lay the piece flat on the chopping block, holding it with your weak hand. once you get that smaller piece split in half (say 2" thick now), you're pretty much not going to be able to "chop" it into a smaller split. I use a Norlund hudson bay style hatchet, mostly, but my Fiskars and GB SFA work the same way. I normally try to work off an 8 or 9" piece (iow, half the length of a "standard" 16" piece of firewood). This is important when splitting log rounds into quarters, for fire wood, but the target is a little smaller when you're trying to make kindling. how are you "splitting" your wood? Are you standing it on end, and trying to get the hatchet to drive all the way down through it? If so, there isn't much "edge" touching the shoulders of the split, and blade shape (lots of cheek) becomes very necessary to force it apart. I'm going to look at this from a skill/technique standpoint. I like to line it up on my strong side and swing the hatchet treating the pole as a mallet and the wedge as a ball, you get the picture.Īt least this is the way I do things, YMMV. For a polo wedge lay the wood so that the round and wedge are parallel to the ground. Momentum and gravity will do the work for you finishing the split. For the gravity wedge flip the wood so the wedge is facing the ground and find something solid like a rock to toss it down on. Then you give the wedge a couple of taps with the pole and you choose between the gravity wedge and wedge polo. Start the split at and edge with the hatchet and place the wedge in the crack before removing the hatchet. I also find it handy to produce a couple of wedges first if splitting larger rounds. This also makes it easier to remove the hatchet due to the decreased friction and not having sharp edges preventing you from rocking the hatchet back and forth. 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His father Irving Simon was a garment salesman. Marvin Neil Simon was born on 4 th July 1927, in New York. Her Parents Neil and Joan Both Worked in the Hollywood Industry However, she has always maintained a long distance from the media. Likewise, her mother passed away suffering from born cancer on July 12, 1973, when she was young.īorn in a family of stars, Nancy was no stranger to the showbiz industry from her early days. Her father passed away at the age of 91 on August 26, 2018, following pneumonia. Flower Memorial Library-229 Washington Street, Watertown, NY 13601 telephone (315) 785-7705.Unfortunately, both of her parents are no more. Utica Public Library-303 Genesee Street, Utica, NY 13501 telephone (315) 735-2279. Onondaga County Public Library, 447 South Salina Street, Syracuse, NY 13202 telephone (315) 435-1900. Rochester Public Library-115 South Avenue, Rochester, NY 14604 telephone (585) 428-8440. National Archives at New York City, One Bowling Green, New York, NY 10004 telephone (212) 401-1620, email Patchogue. Crandall Public Library, Center for Folklife, History & Cultural Programs-251 Glen Street, Glens Falls, NY 12801 telephone (518) 792-6508. Steele Memorial Library-101 East Church Street, Elmira, NY 14901 telephone (607) 733-8603. Buffalo & Erie County Public Library, Grosvenor Room, 1 Lafayette Square, Buffalo, NY 14203 telephone (716) 858-8900. Broome County Public Library-185 Court Street, Binghamton, NY 13901 telephone (607) 778-6400. Several microfiche readers are available for use however, researchers will be limited to one hour's use of a microfiche reader, if other persons are waiting to use the readers. Researchers must produce identification, sign a registration form, and comply with the rules of the research room. No appointment is needed to use the indexes. New York State Archives, Cultural Education Center, Empire State Plaza, Albany 12230. The birth and death indexes do include data on individuals who were born or died in a state facility (such as a prison or mental hospital).The birth indexes do not include original data for adopted infants.(Contact the local registrar of vital statistics in those cities for information about earlier records.) The indexes do not include births and deaths in Albany, Buffalo, and Yonkers prior to 1914, or marriages in those cities prior to 1908.The indexes do include vital events in the former towns of Kings County prior to their annexation by the City of Brooklyn in the 1880s and '90s in portions of Westchester County prior to their annexation by New York City in 1895 and in Richmond County (Staten Island) and the western portion of Queens County prior to their incorporation into the City of New York, January 1, 1898.Indexes to New York City vital records are available through the Vitalsearch Company (for a fee), and for free on the websites of the Italian Genealogical Group and the German Genealogy Group. The DOH indexes do not include vital events in New York City and in the former city of Brooklyn for any period.The State Archives also holds an index to “delayed” birth certificates filed for some births occurring prior to 1881, mostly in the 1870s.Data elements include year/date of death, decedent name, gender, residence code, and state file number. These datasets start in 1957 and are posted after 50 years. The data in the indexes is not available in electronic format, except for death indexes made available for download from the State Department of Health.Indexes for certain years are arranged by SOUNDEX codes. An index entry states only the name of the person, date and place of event, and State certificate number.Birth indexes have been made available through 1937 only. 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The linear regression formula looks like this: Y = a + bX However, Excel can perform a linear regression analysis to calculate your forecasts and give you an idea of what you might sell for the duration of the year. Since you only have a single cycle of historical data, Excel won’t be able to properly identify patterns in seasonality (meaning exponential smoothing is out of the question). Say you have the data for your previous year’s sales and want to forecast sales for the current year. Linear regression works by fitting a linear equation to your observed data (which is made up of all the variables you’re working with). Meanwhile, dependent variables might be your production planning or product price that do rely on other variables. Independent variables are things like customer demographics and economic factors that do not depend on other variables. With the linear regression model, your independent variables are actually used to predict the value of your dependent variable. In other words, this statistical forecasting technique examines the relationship between 2 continuous, numerical variables. Linear regression looks at the relationship between a dependent variable and 1 (or more) independent variable in your retail operations. That’s why most retailers let Excel create a forecast sheet and run this for them instead. t = the time period you’re working withĭespite this being the “simplest” exponential smoothing formula, it’s still a complicated calculation.α = the smoothing factor of data (0 st = the smoothed statistic (simple weighted average of current observation xt). There is an option to forecast with exponential smoothing on your own, but it’ll require you to use the formula: st = αxt+(1 – α)st-1= st-1+ α(xt – st-1) Non-linear data can happen for a number of reasons, though seasonal demand tends to be the primary factor. Generally speaking, the smoothing method is best suited for non-linear data models (meaning, the data isn’t constant because it changes or fluctuates over time). This way, brands can build accurate forecasts for future sales and create more precise purchase orders. The idea behind exponential smoothing forecasting is to give DTC sellers a more realistic picture of their sales trends and product movement. More simply, the ETS has a way of smoothing out your data by eliminating random effects or outliers. This algorithm helps to smooth out deviations in past data trends by identifying seasonal patterns and confidence intervals. Exponential smoothingĮxponential smoothing is based on the AAA version - that is, additive error, additive trend, and additive seasonality - of the Exponential Triple Smoothing (ETS) algorithm. When working in Excel, there are 3 main ways to forecast inventory: exponential smoothing, linear regression, and moving averages. Creating accurate forecasts is the key to keeping your business profitable and satisfying your customers. The goal of inventory forecasting is to use historical data and sales trends to predict the future demand for your products. Their spreadsheet workflow will have provided subpar recommendations that hindered revenue and growth.įortunately, a better alternative to Excel inventory forecasting can help DTC brands achieve the sustainable growth they deserve. The trouble is that spreadsheets aren’t optimal for brands wanting to scale.īut by the time a DTC seller is ready to move on from Excel, it’ll already be too late. And sometimes, they even use Excel inventory spreadsheets to guide their demand planning. But we can all agree it doesn’t excel at everything – especially not inventory forecasting.īrands just getting started often see the value in spreadsheets for basic computations, data entry, analysis, and accounting. Here’s how to make it work.Īlmost every DTC brand uses Excel. Tons of brands use Excel for inventory forecasts, but it’s far from a perfect solution. |
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